BHI 3.0·Q1 2026 Bulletin
Last computed 14:32 UTC, Apr 29 2026·Spearman ρ = 0.83·Validation: preliminary
Today's bulletin →
Movers · since 14:32 UTC, Apr 29 2026
PLATFORM PROFILEAMZN

Amazon Marketplace

$2.34T200M+ PrimeE-Commerce
7.77
B-index (V3.1)
BLACK HOLE
Capture2.414
Escape0.311
Key Structural Insight

Gravity well of global commerce. 200M Prime with 91% renewal = structural lock-in at consumer scale.

Eleven-Parameter Profile

5DATAMEMACTPROCNETCLOSEPORTSUBFALLORGMOM
Data Depth9/10
Memory8/10
Action8/10
Process9/10
Network9/10
Closeness9/10
Portability3/10
Substitutability3/10
Human Fallback3/10
Org Depth8/10
Momentum8/10
Capture Escape Extended

V3.1 Decomposition

ComponentValueFormula
CES₄ capture core0.8493CES(d, m, a, p)
Knowledge synergy σₖ0.8485√(d · m)
Operability synergy σₒ0.8485√(a · p)
Synergy boost1.25461 + 0.3·(σₖ + σₒ)/2
Org-depth multiplier1.40001 + 0.5·o
Momentum multiplier1.24001 + 0.3·t
Total Capture2.4138c·(1+0.5n)·core·syn·org·mom
CES₃ escape core0.3000CES(x, s, h)
Feedback attenuation0.7028max(0.3, 1 − 0.35·core)
Total Escape0.3108ε + escCore · feedback
B = Capture / Escape7.772.414 / 0.311

Scoring Rationale

Seller: 82% FBA, non-portable reviews, Prime badge. Buyer: 200M+ Prime, 91% renewal, $1,400/yr spend. World's largest by revenue ($716.9B).

Parameter Sensitivity

MARGINAL B-INDEX CHANGE PER ±1 SCORE SHIFT
CLOSE9
+1.73
FALL3
-1.20
PORT3
-1.20
SUB3
-1.20
ACT8
+0.71
MEM8
+0.71
DATA9
+0.66
PROC9
+0.66
ORG8
+0.55
NET9
+0.54
MOM8
+0.38
+ raises B (deepens lock-in) lowers B (aids escape)

Comparable PlatformsE-Commerce (7 peers)

#PlatformTickerB-indexZone
01MercadoLibreMELI5.87BLACK HOLEProfile →
02Alibaba/TaobaoBABA4.97BLACK HOLEProfile →
03CoupangCPNG3.72BLACK HOLEProfile →
04ShopifySHOP3.15BLACK HOLEProfile →
05Shopee/SeaSE3.03BLACK HOLEProfile →
06PDD/TemuPDD1.86EVENT HORIZONProfile →
07eBayEBAY1.71EVENT HORIZONProfile →