PLATFORM PROFILEMRNA
Moderna
1.86
B-index (V3.1)
EVENT HORIZON
Capture0.849
Escape0.456
Key Structural Insight
Platform-level lock-in for governments, not consumers. Pandemic preparedness infrastructure cannot switch vendors mid-crisis.
Eleven-Parameter Profile
Data Depth7/10
Memory7/10
Action7/10
Process6/10
Network6/10
Closeness5/10
Portability4/10
Substitutability5/10
Human Fallback5/10
Org Depth6/10
Momentum8/10
Capture Escape Extended
V3.1 Decomposition
| Component | Value | Formula |
|---|---|---|
| CES₄ capture core | 0.6743 | CES(d, m, a, p) |
| Knowledge synergy σₖ | 0.7000 | √(d · m) |
| Operability synergy σₒ | 0.6481 | √(a · p) |
| Synergy boost | 1.2022 | 1 + 0.3·(σₖ + σₒ)/2 |
| Org-depth multiplier | 1.3000 | 1 + 0.5·o |
| Momentum multiplier | 1.2400 | 1 + 0.3·t |
| Total Capture | 0.8494 | c·(1+0.5n)·core·syn·org·mom |
| CES₃ escape core | 0.4654 | CES(x, s, h) |
| Feedback attenuation | 0.7640 | max(0.3, 1 − 0.35·core) |
| Total Escape | 0.4556 | ε + escCore · feedback |
| B = Capture / Escape | 1.86 | 0.849 / 0.456 |
Scoring Rationale
mRNA platform technology. Sequence-to-vaccine in weeks. But platform lock-in is scientific, not commercial — competitors (BioNTech, CureVac) building parallel platforms. Real lock-in is for governments that have built pandemic response infrastructure around mRNA.
Parameter Sensitivity
MARGINAL B-INDEX CHANGE PER ±1 SCORE SHIFT
CLOSE5+0.75
PORT4-0.23
PROC6+0.21
SUB5-0.20
FALL5-0.20
DATA7+0.19
MEM7+0.19
ACT7+0.19
ORG6+0.14
NET6+0.14
MOM8+0.09
+ raises B (deepens lock-in)− lowers B (aids escape)