BHI 3.0·Q1 2026 Bulletin
Last computed 14:32 UTC, Apr 29 2026·Spearman ρ = 0.83·Validation: preliminary
Today's bulletin →
Movers · since 14:32 UTC, Apr 29 2026
PLATFORM PROFILEMETA

Instagram

(Meta)2.0B+ MAUSocial Media
3.07
B-index (V3.1)
BLACK HOLE
Capture1.383
Escape0.450
Key Structural Insight

Lock-in strongest for creators and businesses. For casual users, partial substitutes exist.

Eleven-Parameter Profile

5DATAMEMACTPROCNETCLOSEPORTSUBFALLORGMOM
Data Depth8/10
Memory7/10
Action6/10
Process6/10
Network9/10
Closeness8/10
Portability3/10
Substitutability5/10
Human Fallback6/10
Org Depth5/10
Momentum6/10
Capture Escape Extended

V3.1 Decomposition

ComponentValueFormula
CES₄ capture core0.6725CES(d, m, a, p)
Knowledge synergy σₖ0.7483√(d · m)
Operability synergy σₒ0.6000√(a · p)
Synergy boost1.20221 + 0.3·(σₖ + σₒ)/2
Org-depth multiplier1.25001 + 0.5·o
Momentum multiplier1.18001 + 0.3·t
Total Capture1.3834c·(1+0.5n)·core·syn·org·mom
CES₃ escape core0.4576CES(x, s, h)
Feedback attenuation0.7646max(0.3, 1 − 0.35·core)
Total Escape0.4499ε + escCore · feedback
B = Capture / Escape3.071.383 / 0.450

Scoring Rationale

Creator economy with Reels monetization, Shopping. Follower base and content non-portable. But Threads, TikTok, Shorts provide partial substitutability for distribution.

Parameter Sensitivity

MARGINAL B-INDEX CHANGE PER ±1 SCORE SHIFT
CLOSE8
+0.77
PORT3
-0.44
ACT6
+0.34
PROC6
+0.34
SUB5
-0.34
MEM7
+0.32
FALL6
-0.31
DATA8
+0.30
ORG5
+0.25
NET9
+0.21
MOM6
+0.16
+ raises B (deepens lock-in) lowers B (aids escape)

Comparable PlatformsSocial Media (9 peers)

#PlatformTickerB-indexZone
01WeChat700.HK17.03BLACK HOLEProfile →
02YouTubeGOOG5.73BLACK HOLEProfile →
03WhatsAppMETA5.43BLACK HOLEProfile →
04FacebookMETA4.19BLACK HOLEProfile →
05LinkedInMSFT3.70BLACK HOLEProfile →
06TikTokPrivate2.24EVENT HORIZONProfile →
07RedditRDDT2.15EVENT HORIZONProfile →
08Telegram-2.03EVENT HORIZONProfile →
09X (Twitter)Private1.29TRANSITIONProfile →